ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsjustbusiness1
0x4956f69ada024c5cb23ed4f38f0dc4c04d2ee2c7
Days on board34
Archive span133 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-08-07
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$30K
Verified lifetime PnL
$7.74MVolume
71.6%Win rate · n=359
-0.21%PnL ÷ Volume
-$5K7-day PnL
-$19K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
-$30KVerified lifetime PnL
$189KBelow board-day sum
34Days on board
$159KBoard-day sum
-$5K7-day PnL
-$19K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 3 | $20K |
| 2026-05 | 11 | $58K |
| 2026-06 | 9 | $8K |
| 2026-07 | 9 | $45K |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $28K |
Which boards
Sports 34All markets 7
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
91% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $5K (78% maker / 22% taker); rebate covers 10% of recent trading losses
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio91%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-08-07
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$5K
Maker rebate$4K
Taker rebate$1K
Maker share78%
Taker share22%
Window2026-04-08 → 2026-08-07
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$26K
Rebate$3K
Net total-$23K
Rebate covers loss10%
Window2026-07-08 → 2026-08-07
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$159K
Verified lifetime PnL-$30K
Verification gap-$189K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketDisclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is a referral link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-08-07 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-08-07 (133 snapshots)