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SSM86
0x4a1e3e68c188d68f5bd7ac9692d836af0c8086d3
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 8% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 8%Verified PnL#1036 of 1130
Beats 41%30-day PnL#473 of 810
Beats 8%Win rate#848 of 928
Beats 6%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#896 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board9
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-05-06
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$64K
Verified lifetime PnL
$4.21MVolume
41%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-1.53%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$64.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $211only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$236partial
Liquidity rewards$38
-1.53% ROI39.8% Win rate · n=412
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$30.4K · loses the most in Politics -$75.2K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$26.9KBears vs. VikingsSports · Bears
- +$20.9KLouisville vs. MiamiSports · Louisville
- +$13.4KWill the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Sports · Yes / No
- +$12.2KBroncos vs. ChargersSports · Chargers
- +$12.2KCommanders vs. LionsSports · Commanders
Top 5 losing markets
- -$34.9KKamala Harris wins the popular vote?Politics · Yes
- -$33.4KAngels vs. YankeesSports · Yankees
- -$13.3KPadres vs. CubsSports · Padres
- -$13.1KSpread: Chargers (-7.5)Sports · Chargers
- -$12.8KHouston vs. UCFSports · UCF
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 12 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$6,954). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$64KVerified lifetime PnL
$66KBelow board-day sum
9Days on board
$1KBoard-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $797 |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $55 |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $188 |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $143 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $37 |
Which boards
Sports 9Mentions 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
49% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $236 (67% maker / 33% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio49%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-28
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$236
Maker rebate$157
Taker rebate$78
Maker share67%
Taker share33%
Window2026-07-15 → 2026-11-03
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$1K
Verified lifetime PnL-$64K
Verification gap-$66K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)