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elenaarybakin21
0x4afbb6588c79f2c5e9019908fd7440224dd1ed2b
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 49% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 49%Verified PnL#566 of 1130
Beats 58%30-day PnL#337 of 810
Beats 50%Win rate#460 of 928
Beats 44%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#529 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board16
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-06-16
Last seen2026-10-08
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$35K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.74MVolume
65.7%Win rate (sample) · n=397
0.68%PnL ÷ Volume
-$1K7-day PnL
$11K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$34.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $866only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2,605partial
Liquidity rewards$457
1.26% ROI39.4% Win rate · n=663
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$148.8K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$11.6KWill Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics · Yes
- +$9,615Will France win on 2026-07-18?Sports · No
- +$8,833LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-InSports · FURIA Esports
- +$8,481Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?Sports · No
- +$6,682Will England win on 2026-07-15?Sports · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,962Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Sports · No
- -$4,880Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Sports · No
- -$4,150Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Sports · No
- -$3,663Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Sports · No
- -$3,580Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Sports · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 266 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$135.6K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$35KVerified lifetime PnL
$9KEarned off the board
16Days on board
$26KBoard-day sum
-$1K7-day PnL
$11K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 5 | $16K |
| 2026-08 | 7 | $5K |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $3K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $2K |
Which boards
Sports 14Politics 1Culture 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
85% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $3K (98% maker / 2% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio85%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-06
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$3K
Maker rebate$3K
Taker rebate$49
Maker share98%
Taker share2%
Window2026-04-04 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$26K
Verified lifetime PnL$35K
Verification gap$9K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)