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0x4b3e2546b0cd99f7583340a16768a58b465acfae
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 22% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 22%Verified PnL#481 of 624
Beats 39%30-day PnL#357 of 594
Beats 24%Win rate#446 of 592
Beats 57%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#267 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board11
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-22
Last seen2026-09-01
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$3K
Verified lifetime PnL
$236KVolume
50.1%Win rate (sample) · n=349
1.16%PnL ÷ Volume
-$647-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$2,739
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$8partial
Liquidity rewards$1
1.16% ROI48.8% Win rate · n=359
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$2,214
Top 5 winning markets
- +$975Exact Score: FC København 0 - 3 Lyngby BK?Sports · No / Yes
- +$198Will Oklahoma win the 2026 College World Series?Sports · No / Yes
- +$185Will North Carolina win the 2026 College World Series?Sports · No / Yes
- +$115Will West Virginia win the 2026 College World Series?Sports · No / Yes
- +$109Will FC Seoul win on 2026-08-30?Sports · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$15.4CA Ferrocarril Midland to win the second half?Sports · Yes
- -$4.03Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 28?Weather · No
- -$3.26Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on August 23?Weather · No
- -$2.98Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de Comodoro Rivadavia win Liga Nacional de Básquetbol?Sports · No
- -$2.82Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 19?Weather · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$3KVerified lifetime PnL
$2KEarned off the board
11Days on board
$501Board-day sum
-$647-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 3 | $152 |
| 2026-07 | 4 | $221 |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $127 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $1 |
Which boards
Sports 6Weather 2Culture 2Tech 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
97% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $8 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio97%
Fills measured482
Window ends2026-10-30
Window scope3 days
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$8
Maker rebate$8
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-06-15 → 2026-08-31
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$501
Verified lifetime PnL$3K
Verification gap$2K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)