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SebastianAde1996
0x4b4071d1456249cd8d7272d533a3efe191aa2f6a
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 7% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 7%Verified PnL#1073 of 1156
#1Win rate#1 of 963
Beats 8%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#917 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board16
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-05-24
Last seen2026-09-10
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$121K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.50MVolume
100%Win rate · n=100
-1.27%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$121.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $25.4Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$20
-4.85% ROI45.5% Win rate · n=220
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
No category in profit; worst is Sports -$37.5K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$82.4KWill Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?Sports · Yes
- +$60.4KSpread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)Sports · Viking FK
- +$33.1KWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-17?Sports · No
- +$31.7KWill Udinese Calcio win on 2026-10-18?Sports · No
- +$29.9KSpread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Sports · Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Top 5 losing markets
- -$77.0KWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20?Sports · Yes
- -$70.0KWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18?Sports · No
- -$30.0KWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?Sports · No
- -$25.0KWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17?Sports · No
- -$20.0KSpread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Sports · Villarreal CF
Covers all 221 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 120 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$577.7K). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$121KVerified lifetime PnL
$136KBelow board-day sum
16Days on board
$15KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $277 |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $629 |
| 2026-07 | 8 | $5K |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $9K |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $17 |
Which boards
Sports 16All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
46% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio46%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-28
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$15K
Verified lifetime PnL-$121K
Verification gap-$136K
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)