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SingletonFamilyFund
0x4c4ed674fde7dc998036b3ae92445d00fcdb297b
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 29% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 29%Verified PnL#439 of 624
Beats 55%30-day PnL#267 of 594
Beats 21%Win rate#466 of 592
Beats 41%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#361 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board42
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-02
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$9K
Verified lifetime PnL
$640KVolume
48.2%Win rate · n=334
0.66%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$8K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$9,233
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,562only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$161partial
Liquidity rewards$438
1.44% ROI47.9% Win rate · n=336
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$11.1K · loses the most in Finance -$80.66
Top 5 winning markets
- +$7,987Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$2,516Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$988Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics · Yes
- +$806Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Tech & science · Yes / No
- +$766Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,408Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech & science · Yes / No
- -$1,331Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$1,080Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$855Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech & science · No
- -$713Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$9KVerified lifetime PnL
$4KEarned off the board
42Days on board
$5KBoard-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$8K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 5 | $187 |
| 2026-06 | 8 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $461 |
| 2026-08 | 13 | $982 |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $1K |
Which boards
Tech 32Finance 12Politics 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
29% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $161 (37% maker / 63% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio29%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$161
Maker rebate$59
Taker rebate$102
Maker share37%
Taker share63%
Window2026-05-05 → 2026-10-10
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$5K
Verified lifetime PnL$9K
Verification gap$4K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)