ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.

← All boards

0x4c681fbb…

0x4c681fbb7564d154e534feb9720fc63014106162

Days on board11
Archive span135 days
First seen2026-05-17
Last seen2026-08-07
VerdictNet negative

At a glance

-$9K

Verified lifetime PnL

$630KVolume
57.6%Win rate · n=33
-1.06%PnL ÷ Volume
2026-05 2026-08

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

-$9KVerified lifetime PnL
$13KBelow board-day sum
11Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-05 4 $955
2026-06 1 $187
2026-07 2 $374
2026-08 4 $3K

Which boards

Politics 11

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet

Measured layers

62% passive fills in the recent window

Execution style

mostly passive

Passive ratio62%
Fills measured209
Window ends2026-07-31
Window scope98 days

Visible rebates

Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Net negative

Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL-$9K
Verification gap-$13K

Trade on Polymarket

If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.

Open Polymarket View this trader on Polymarket

Disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is a referral link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.

Generated 2026-08-09 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-08-09 (135 snapshots)