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← All boardsdefillama7
0x4c8cdcdd4c92bf44e74a642254f7414de14de36f
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 80% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 80%Verified PnL#121 of 624
Beats 87%30-day PnL#78 of 594
Beats 87%Win rate#73 of 592
Beats 98%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#12 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board35
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-01
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$472K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.79MVolume
87.5%Win rate · n=48
11.72%PnL ÷ Volume
-$2K7-day PnL
$154K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$472.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $5,048only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2,313partial
Liquidity rewards$3,741
12.4% ROI62.7% Win rate · n=67
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$716.1K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$176.6KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes / No
- +$171.0KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$146.0KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- +$129.6KWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No / Yes
- +$44.1KWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$81.6KWill Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics · Yes / No
- -$21.2KWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics · No
- -$17.3KWill Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics · Yes
- -$4,004Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics · No / Yes
Covers all 57 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$472KVerified lifetime PnL
$387KEarned off the board
35Days on board
$86KBoard-day sum
-$2K7-day PnL
$154K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 9 | $3K |
| 2026-06 | 14 | $47K |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 8 | $33K |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $28 |
Which boards
Politics 34All markets 2Sports 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
92% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (86% maker / 14% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio92%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-08-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$334
Maker share86%
Taker share14%
Window2026-04-30 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$86K
Verified lifetime PnL$472K
Verification gap$387K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)