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uninfromedfloww
0x4c8ed7ead1ac18338f816e964b1edde8a50eb38f
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 64% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 64%Verified PnL#405 of 1130
Beats 70%30-day PnL#237 of 810
Beats 58%Win rate#384 of 928
Beats 63%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#346 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board47
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$84K
Verified lifetime PnL
$4.56MVolume
69.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
1.45%PnL ÷ Volume
$3K7-day PnL
$30K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$83.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $256only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$7,011partial
Liquidity rewards$47
1.84% ROI31.2% Win rate · n=898
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$51.6K · loses the most in Sports -$2,726
Top 5 winning markets
- +$5,055Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETCrypto · Down
- +$3,388Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETCrypto · Down
- +$2,518Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETCrypto · Down
- +$2,408Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$2,262Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETCrypto · Up / Down
Top 5 losing markets
- -$3,506Thunder vs. SunsSports · Thunder
- -$1,539Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$1,438Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$1,431Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$1,411Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETCrypto · Up
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 2984+ losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$106.3K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$84KVerified lifetime PnL
$69KEarned off the board
47Days on board
$14KBoard-day sum
$3K7-day PnL
$30K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $914 |
| 2026-05 | 3 | $622 |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $690 |
| 2026-07 | 8 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 24 | $9K |
| 2026-09 | 10 | $947 |
Which boards
Crypto 30Sports 26Culture 3Weather 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
24% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $7K (22% maker / 78% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio24%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-28
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$7K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$5K
Maker share22%
Taker share78%
Window2026-02-18 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$14K
Verified lifetime PnL$84K
Verification gap$69K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)