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pppnn
0x4c9affa3a4f5ba6b9ab3dd272c20e47ea47e0cd4
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 7% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 7%Verified PnL#1040 of 1130
Beats 18%30-day PnL#659 of 810
Beats 10%Win rate#831 of 928
Beats 3%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#919 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board27
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-06-23
Last seen2026-11-04
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$79K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.68MVolume
43.5%Win rate (sample) · n=393
-2.16%PnL ÷ Volume
-$117-day PnL
-$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$79.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$5,557partial
Liquidity rewards$86.7K
-2.16% ROI43.3% Win rate · n=395
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$680 · loses the most in Tech & science -$1,365
Top 5 winning markets
- +$442US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- +$389Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance · No
- +$370Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics · Yes
- +$241Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Sports · Over
- +$215Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsSports · FOKUS
Top 5 losing markets
- -$348Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETCrypto · Down / Up
- -$286Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech & science · No / Yes
- -$215US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- -$206Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Sports · Over
- -$192Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 WinnerSports · FOKUS
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$79KVerified lifetime PnL
$81KBelow board-day sum
27Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
-$117-day PnL
-$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 1 | $513 |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $464 |
| 2026-08 | 6 | $82 |
| 2026-09 | 17 | $747 |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $0 |
Which boards
Sports 18Mentions 14Politics 5Finance 5Tech 3Crypto 2Weather 2Culture 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $6K (98% maker / 2% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio100%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$6K
Maker rebate$5K
Taker rebate$111
Maker share98%
Taker share2%
Window2026-06-19 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL-$79K
Verification gap-$81K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)