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0x4d49acb0ae1c463eb5b1947d174141b812ba7450
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 48% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 48%Verified PnL#319 of 624
Beats 38%30-day PnL#365 of 594
Beats 92%Win rate#47 of 592
Beats 34%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#409 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board20
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-10-11
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$48K
Verified lifetime PnL
$12.13MVolume
93.2%Win rate · n=147
0.40%PnL ÷ Volume
-$7K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$48.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $22only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$235partial
Liquidity rewards$307
0.40% ROI93.2% Win rate · n=147
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$27.5K · loses the most in Sports -$14.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$9,681New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? Culture · No
- +$5,000Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto · No
- +$4,276Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Politics · Yes
- +$3,219Ethereum all time high by December 31?Crypto · No
- +$3,083Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$19.0KRoland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana ShnaiderSports · Aryna Sabalenka
- -$5,273Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?Politics · No
- -$2,984Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Politics · No
- -$0.44Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto · Yes
Covers all 153 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$48KVerified lifetime PnL
$37KEarned off the board
20Days on board
$11KBoard-day sum
-$7K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $475 |
| 2026-05 | 3 | $930 |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $752 |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $950 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $2K |
| 2026-10 | 3 | $5K |
Which boards
Politics 10Finance 6Sports 2Crypto 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
99% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $235 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio99%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-21
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$235
Maker rebate$235
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-15 → 2026-08-19
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$11K
Verified lifetime PnL$48K
Verification gap$37K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)