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0x4e65c9cfd7e345cb6284e9016c28193fd78e7a19
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 17% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 17%Verified PnL#517 of 624
Beats 20%30-day PnL#471 of 594
Beats 91%Win rate#51 of 592
Beats 24%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#467 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board5
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-07-30
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$368
Verified lifetime PnL
$118KVolume
92.2%Win rate (sample) · n=396
0.10%PnL ÷ Volume
-$897-day PnL
-$1K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$368
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $142only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)none seenpartial
Liquidity rewards$0
-0.31% ROI91.3% Win rate · n=400
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$128 · loses the most in Politics -$899
Top 5 winning markets
- +$269Will Trump say "Mardi Gras" this week?Politics · No
- +$93.41Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Tech & science · Yes
- +$90.43Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$56.68Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$55.27Will Trump say "Darth Vader" in September?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$443Trump renames AI by September 30?Politics · No
- -$219Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 26?Weather · No
- -$214Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Tech & science · No
- -$189Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?Politics · No
- -$141Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 17?Weather · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$368Verified lifetime PnL
$417Below board-day sum
5Days on board
$49Board-day sum
-$897-day PnL
-$1K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 1 | $9 |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $2 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $38 |
Which boards
Mentions 5
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
5% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate none in the activity feed
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio5%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-27
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
No visible rebate
Visible rebateNone seen
Window—
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$49
Verified lifetime PnL-$368
Verification gap-$417
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)