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0x4e72c22cd76f9973a48aedfd79feeaacc8b7ffb9
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 56% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 56%Verified PnL#274 of 624
Beats 93%30-day PnL#38 of 594
Beats 7%Win rate#547 of 592
Beats 74%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#160 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board36
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-08
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$76K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.33MVolume
34.9%Win rate (sample) · n=86
2.10%PnL ÷ Volume
$370K7-day PnL
$416K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$76.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $6only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,420partial
Liquidity rewards$164
2.28% ROI26.6% Win rate · n=173
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$69.5K · loses the most in Finance -$443
Top 5 winning markets
- +$26.7KWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics · No / Yes
- +$11.8KWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Sports · No
- +$10.8KWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?Sports · No / Yes
- +$9,687Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics · No
- +$6,864Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$6,441Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?Sports · No / Yes
- -$6,087Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Sports · No / Yes
- -$5,653Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?Sports · No
- -$3,261Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Finance · No
- -$3,009Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Finance · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$76KVerified lifetime PnL
$65KEarned off the board
36Days on board
$11KBoard-day sum
$370K7-day PnL
$416K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 6 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 15 | $7K |
| 2026-09 | 8 | $980 |
Which boards
Sports 13Weather 12Politics 7Culture 5Finance 4Tech 2Crypto 1All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
31% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (61% maker / 39% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio31%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$859
Taker rebate$561
Maker share61%
Taker share39%
Window2026-05-23 → 2026-10-27
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$11K
Verified lifetime PnL$76K
Verification gap$65K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)