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turtle911
0x4fff3c11a5d9b77822e01792f933cdb28557be78
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 41% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 41%Verified PnL#364 of 624
Beats 42%30-day PnL#343 of 594
Beats 67%Win rate#192 of 592
Beats 44%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#344 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board39
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-27
Last seen2026-09-29
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$33K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.80MVolume
73.2%Win rate (sample) · n=396
0.75%PnL ÷ Volume
$8727-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$32.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $368only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$510partial
Liquidity rewards$1,800
0.86% ROI73.2% Win rate · n=396
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$15.7K · loses the most in Culture -$8,559
Top 5 winning markets
- +$3,070Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before 2025?Crypto · No
- +$3,050Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Politics · No
- +$2,374Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Tech & science · No
- +$2,230Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday?Politics · No
- +$1,881Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$5,546Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6?Culture · No
- -$4,230TikTok on App Store again before March?Tech & science · No
- -$3,663Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? Politics · Yes
- -$3,138Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?Crypto · Yes / No
- -$2,978Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$33KVerified lifetime PnL
$27KEarned off the board
39Days on board
$5KBoard-day sum
$8727-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $901 |
| 2026-04 | 1 | $186 |
| 2026-05 | 3 | $377 |
| 2026-06 | 15 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $543 |
| 2026-08 | 9 | $917 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $211 |
Which boards
Mentions 24Finance 9Politics 7Tech 5Culture 2Sports 1Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
75% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $510 (99% maker / 1% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio75%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$510
Maker rebate$505
Taker rebate$5
Maker share99%
Taker share1%
Window2026-04-08 → 2026-10-02
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$5K
Verified lifetime PnL$33K
Verification gap$27K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)