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0x501c9ecce9236992794cd12e88d22355e6454d6d
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 27% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 27%Verified PnL#455 of 624
Beats 43%30-day PnL#336 of 594
Beats 7%Win rate#549 of 592
Beats 59%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#249 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board5
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-08-27
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$7K
Verified lifetime PnL
$314KVolume
34.8%Win rate (sample) · n=391
1.34%PnL ÷ Volume
$9257-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$7,029
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $66only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$26partial
Liquidity rewards$11
2.24% ROI31.9% Win rate · n=426
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$1,731
Top 5 winning markets
- +$368Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 20?Weather · Yes
- +$166Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 29?Weather · Yes
- +$143Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 23?Weather · Yes
- +$143Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 15?Weather · Yes
- +$118Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$140Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C on August 29?Weather · Yes
- -$88.36Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 15?Weather · Yes
- -$84.77Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 22?Weather · Yes
- -$78.21Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 23?Weather · Yes
- -$70.42Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10?Weather · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$7KVerified lifetime PnL
$7KEarned off the board
5Days on board
$96Board-day sum
$9257-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 2 | $41 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $54 |
Which boards
Weather 5
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
33% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $26 (61% maker / 39% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio33%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-10-12
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$26
Maker rebate$16
Taker rebate$10
Maker share61%
Taker share39%
Window2026-08-18 → 2026-10-16
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$96
Verified lifetime PnL$7K
Verification gap$7K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)