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0x502b532f…

0x502b532f55778c0985846dc53a9bc71eb4f33b15

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 62% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 62%Verified PnL#234 of 624
Beats 77%30-day PnL#132 of 594
Beats 57%Win rate#251 of 592
Beats 45%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#338 of 620

Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board49
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-28
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$110K

Verified lifetime PnL

$10.96MVolume
68.5%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.77%PnL ÷ Volume
$9K7-day PnL
$56K30-day PnL
2026-04 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$110.0K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $9only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$21.4Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$68
1.00% ROI30.8% Win rate · n=890

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleShort-cycle specialist100% of last 500 fills (over 3.7 h) are 5/15-min or hourly marketsMostly maker98% of 498 archived fills were maker (resting order) fillsHolds to settlementSells are only 0% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 3.7 h)Mid-price trader67% of 500 buys between 35¢ and 65¢Read from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Crypto +$54.6K · loses the most in Politics -$6,536

Crypto396 pos.+$54.6K
Politics4 pos.-$6,536

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$2,559Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETCrypto · Up
  2. +$2,108Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETCrypto · Up
  3. +$1,979Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETCrypto · Up
  4. +$1,862Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETCrypto · Down
  5. +$1,706Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETCrypto · Up

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$4,458Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 4AM ETCrypto · Up
  2. -$3,644Paris curfew by October 19?Politics · No / Yes
  3. -$1,958Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETCrypto · Up
  4. -$1,861Paris curfew by October 21?Politics · Yes
  5. -$1,606Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETCrypto · Up

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01

$110KVerified lifetime PnL
$90KEarned off the board
49Days on board
$20KBoard-day sum
$9K7-day PnL
$56K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-04 3 $667
2026-05 9 $4K
2026-06 6 $2K
2026-07 13 $5K
2026-08 8 $6K
2026-09 10 $2K

Which boards

Crypto 47Politics 2

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen

Measured layers

98% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $21K (99% maker / 1% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

passive (market maker)

Passive ratio98%
Fills measured498
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Maker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$21K
Maker rebate$21K
Taker rebate$239
Maker share99%
Taker share1%
Window2026-01-09 → 2026-10-15

Profit composition

Insufficient data

Trade cash$1.61M
Rebate$7K
Net total$1.62M
Window2026-09-15 → 2026-10-15

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$20K
Verified lifetime PnL$110K
Verification gap$90K

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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)