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0x507e52ef684ca2dd91f90a9d26d149dd3288beae
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 99% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 99%Verified PnL#7 of 624
Beats 38%Win rate#364 of 592
Beats 53%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#291 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board38
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-24
Last seen2026-07-11
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$4.40M
Verified lifetime PnL
$440.53MVolume
56.8%Win rate (sample) · n=398
1.00%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$4.40M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $9only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$160.1Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$100.3K
1.00% ROI56.7% Win rate · n=402
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
No category in profit; worst is Sports -$661.1K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$156.0KWill Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?Sports · Yes
- +$141.9KWill 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-25?Sports · Yes
- +$121.9KWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?Sports · No
- +$116.2KWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?Sports · No
- +$113.4KWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?Sports · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$185.1KWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-26?Sports · No
- -$176.6KWill FC Metz win on 2025-12-13?Sports · Yes
- -$115.1KWill FC Lorient win on 2026-04-26?Sports · Yes
- -$114.6KLakers vs. MagicSports · Magic
- -$113.1KWill Oxford United FC win on 2025-12-13?Sports · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$4.40MVerified lifetime PnL
$3.92MEarned off the board
38Days on board
$473KBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $157K |
| 2026-04 | 6 | $157K |
| 2026-05 | 14 | $73K |
| 2026-06 | 13 | $69K |
| 2026-07 | 4 | $16K |
Which boards
Sports 38All markets 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $160K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Head-to-heads with other top wallets:
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio100%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-07-15
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$160K
Maker rebate$160K
Taker rebate$29
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-02-22 → 2026-07-12
Profit composition
Net negative (window)
Trade cash$0
Rebate$0
Net total$0
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$473K
Verified lifetime PnL$4.40M
Verification gap$3.92M
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)