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0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793ee
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 63% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 63%Verified PnL#230 of 624
Beats 20%30-day PnL#473 of 594
Beats 47%Win rate#309 of 592
Beats 90%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#57 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board45
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-22
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$120K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.14MVolume
63.4%Win rate (sample) · n=396
3.93%PnL ÷ Volume
-$4757-day PnL
-$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$120.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,779only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$899partial
Liquidity rewards$1,651
3.82% ROI50.9% Win rate · n=493
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$153.7K · loses the most in Other -$3,324
Top 5 winning markets
- +$9,118Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?Culture · Yes / No
- +$7,207Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?Culture · Yes
- +$7,145Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Culture · Yes
- +$6,573Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?Culture · Yes
- +$6,310Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 137m and 150m?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$3,444Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?Crypto · Yes / No
- -$3,005Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?Other · Yes / No
- -$2,588Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?Culture · Yes
- -$2,557Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?Culture · Yes / No
- -$2,180Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?Culture · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$120KVerified lifetime PnL
$79KEarned off the board
45Days on board
$41KBoard-day sum
-$4757-day PnL
-$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 2 | $4K |
| 2026-04 | 3 | $9K |
| 2026-05 | 15 | $15K |
| 2026-06 | 8 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 10 | $6K |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $4K |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $265 |
Which boards
Culture 45
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
87% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $899 (92% maker / 8% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio87%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$899
Maker rebate$829
Taker rebate$70
Maker share92%
Taker share8%
Window2026-04-19 → 2026-10-11
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$41K
Verified lifetime PnL$120K
Verification gap$79K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)