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PPMT
0x510f4963b66b1b18505faab74b0bb943d1dda43c
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 39% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 39%Verified PnL#680 of 1130
Beats 65%Win rate#319 of 928
Beats 25%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#711 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board39
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-30
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$15K
Verified lifetime PnL
$17.41MVolume
73.5%Win rate (sample) · n=396
0.10%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$14.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$21.7K
0.08% ROI88.3% Win rate · n=895
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$1,400 · loses the most in Culture -$808
Top 5 winning markets
- +$329Will Oklahoma win the 2026 College World Series?Sports · No / Yes
- +$241Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Sports · Yes / No
- +$211Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Politics · No
- +$159Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?Sports · Yes / No
- +$124Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Culture · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$107Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$106Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?Culture · No
- -$105Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?Sports · No
- -$99.84Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Culture · No
- -$95.4Iran closes its airspace by June 22?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 2966+ losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$8,985). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$15KVerified lifetime PnL
$13KEarned off the board
39Days on board
$1KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $43 |
| 2026-05 | 6 | $229 |
| 2026-06 | 7 | $201 |
| 2026-07 | 10 | $467 |
| 2026-08 | 8 | $125 |
| 2026-09 | 7 | $104 |
Which boards
Sports 13Mentions 12Weather 8Tech 4Culture 4Finance 3Politics 1Crypto 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
95% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio95%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-10-06
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$1K
Verified lifetime PnL$15K
Verification gap$13K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)