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← All boardsJordanMooney
0x5136541bced26e7c2bc20550cc26345f7d4a0e4f
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 39% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 39%Verified PnL#377 of 624
Beats 77%30-day PnL#136 of 594
Beats 4%Win rate#567 of 592
Beats 67%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#203 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board12
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-13
Last seen2026-10-12
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$27K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.22MVolume
29.1%Win rate (sample) · n=385
1.71%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$54K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$27.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $383only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$326partial
Liquidity rewards$391
2.24% ROI20.3% Win rate · n=553
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$13.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$4,649Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No
- +$1,972Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports · Yes / No
- +$1,930Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics · No
- +$1,822Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No
- +$1,810Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,169Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics · No
- -$1,168Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics · No
- -$1,162Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics · No
- -$1,152Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics · No
- -$1,148Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$27KVerified lifetime PnL
$10KEarned off the board
12Days on board
$17KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$54K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 5 | $3K |
| 2026-06 | 2 | $51 |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $238 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $13K |
Which boards
Politics 6Sports 2Tech 2Culture 1Finance 1
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $326 (95% maker / 5% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$326
Maker rebate$310
Taker rebate$16
Maker share95%
Taker share5%
Window2026-04-05 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$17K
Verified lifetime PnL$27K
Verification gap$10K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)