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← All boardsHannah-Montana
0x521bf1c6a5435219b599127d85b7afe28758db60
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 13% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 13%Verified PnL#538 of 624
Beats 71%30-day PnL#172 of 594
Beats 54%Win rate#267 of 592
Beats 7%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#573 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board15
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-02
Last seen2026-09-10
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$8K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.26MVolume
67.5%Win rate (sample) · n=397
-1.20%PnL ÷ Volume
-$1K7-day PnL
$30K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$7,773
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,067only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,118partial
Liquidity rewards$2,207
-0.34% ROI65% Win rate · n=412
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$18.0K · loses the most in Politics -$12.2K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$5,939Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$4,227Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Tech & science · No
- +$3,483Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?Tech & science · No
- +$3,450Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$3,426Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$7,800Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Culture · No
- -$7,680Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$6,865Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$6,827Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Politics · Yes
- -$6,300Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$8KVerified lifetime PnL
$9KBelow board-day sum
15Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
-$1K7-day PnL
$30K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 3 | $502 |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $222 |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $743 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $48 |
Which boards
Sports 6Tech 6Mentions 2Finance 1Politics 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
68% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (94% maker / 6% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio68%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-10-06
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$1K
Taker rebate$66
Maker share94%
Taker share6%
Window2026-05-24 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL-$8K
Verification gap-$9K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)