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uma003
0x53c48faa2373f597b693567f79c3782c6ce7740b
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 10% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 10%Verified PnL#556 of 624
Beats 69%30-day PnL#183 of 594
Beats 84%Win rate#90 of 592
Beats 12%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#543 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board53
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-19
Last seen2026-11-01
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$32K
Verified lifetime PnL
$5.51MVolume
85.7%Win rate · n=49
-0.41%PnL ÷ Volume
-$6K7-day PnL
$24K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$32.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $864only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2,086partial
Liquidity rewards$4,472
-0.58% ROI54.5% Win rate · n=77
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$8,437
Top 5 winning markets
- +$7,297Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$4,693Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · No
- +$4,118Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics · No
- +$2,871Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Finance · No
- +$2,350Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,760Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · No
- -$2,514Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · No
- -$1,000Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics · Yes
- -$688SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Finance · No
- -$591Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 8?Finance · Up
Covers all 50 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$32KVerified lifetime PnL
$148KBelow board-day sum
53Days on board
$116KBoard-day sum
-$6K7-day PnL
$24K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 4 | $5K |
| 2026-06 | 12 | $36K |
| 2026-07 | 16 | $34K |
| 2026-08 | 9 | $13K |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $10K |
| 2026-10 | 5 | $15K |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $4K |
Which boards
Finance 47Sports 8All markets 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
98% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (99% maker / 1% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio98%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-19
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$11
Maker share99%
Taker share1%
Window2026-05-13 → 2026-09-20
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$116K
Verified lifetime PnL-$32K
Verification gap-$148K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)