ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.

-Dominus-

0x5415c298dde8c84f4ba726d36b411df6e9a72a6e

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 53% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 53%Verified PnL#537 of 1156
Beats 62%30-day PnL#302 of 812
Beats 62%Win rate#361 of 963
Beats 76%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#231 of 1000

Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board43
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-04-29
Last seen2026-10-09
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$41K

Verified lifetime PnL

$1.22MVolume
71.8%Win rate (sample) · n=393
2.24%PnL ÷ Volume
$6K7-day PnL
$18K30-day PnL
2026-04 2026-10

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$40.9K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $825only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$57partial
Liquidity rewards$302
3.35% ROI71.6% Win rate · n=394

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleBuys near-certain outcomes51% of 365 buys at ≥ 90¢Mainly politics68% of last 500 fills (over 10.7 days) are politics marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Politics +$13.9K · loses the most in Other -$1,025

Politics131 pos.+$13.9K
Culture120 pos.+$8,743
Sports109 pos.+$8,301
Finance17 pos.+$436
Crypto10 pos.+$219
Tech & science8 pos.+$59.62
Other5 pos.-$1,025

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 1 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$20). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

$41KVerified lifetime PnL
$36KEarned off the board
43Days on board
$5KBoard-day sum
$6K7-day PnL
$18K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-04 1 $37
2026-05 7 $2K
2026-06 5 $736
2026-07 8 $160
2026-08 8 $125
2026-09 10 $478
2026-10 4 $2K

Which boards

Mentions 41Culture 2Sports 1

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet

Measured layers

33% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $57 (92% maker / 8% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

mostly aggressive

Passive ratio33%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Maker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$57
Maker rebate$52
Taker rebate$5
Maker share92%
Taker share8%
Window2026-04-20 → 2026-10-07

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$5K
Verified lifetime PnL$41K
Verification gap$36K

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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)