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← All boardsWEN-ALPHA
0x54648f78e5f096f39368f5b1730e65c0f062af99
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 39% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 39%Verified PnL#381 of 624
Beats 40%30-day PnL#353 of 594
Beats 23%Win rate#455 of 592
Beats 73%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#164 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board15
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-24
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$27K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.09MVolume
49.4%Win rate · n=249
2.07%PnL ÷ Volume
$9827-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$26.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $610only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$61partial
Liquidity rewards$840
2.43% ROI43.9% Win rate · n=280
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$21.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$5,079US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Politics · No
- +$4,907Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$4,590US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Politics · No
- +$3,120Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Finance · No
- +$2,902Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,834Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Politics · No
- -$1,489Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · No
- -$1,384Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?Crypto · Yes
- -$954Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?Crypto · Yes
- -$889Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? Crypto · No
Covers the 288 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$27KVerified lifetime PnL
$18KEarned off the board
15Days on board
$8KBoard-day sum
$9827-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 4 | $5K |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $154 |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $470 |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $296 |
Which boards
Politics 15
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
80% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $61 (72% maker / 28% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio80%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-13
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$61
Maker rebate$44
Taker rebate$17
Maker share72%
Taker share28%
Window2026-07-19 → 2026-10-29
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$8K
Verified lifetime PnL$27K
Verification gap$18K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)