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0x594edb9112f526fa6a80b8f858a6379c8a2c1c11
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 62% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 62%Verified PnL#237 of 624
Beats 10%30-day PnL#532 of 594
#1Win rate#1 of 592
Beats 52%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#293 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board37
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-20
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$107K
Verified lifetime PnL
$13.77MVolume
100%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.99%PnL ÷ Volume
$4K7-day PnL
-$18K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$106.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $3,985only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$3,406partial
Liquidity rewards$0
0.77% ROI44.5% Win rate · n=899
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$18.1K · loses the most in Weather -$16.0K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$6,423Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Culture · No
- +$5,783Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 56-57°F on December 21?Weather · No / Yes
- +$4,365Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Culture · No
- +$4,114Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 54°F or higher on March 11?Weather · Yes / No
- +$3,099Will the highest temperature in Miami be 74°F or higher on January 29?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,885Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 14?Weather · No
- -$4,524Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on March 22?Weather · No
- -$4,344Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 17?Weather · No
- -$3,344Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 5?Weather · No
- -$3,233Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 14?Weather · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$107KVerified lifetime PnL
$74KEarned off the board
37Days on board
$33KBoard-day sum
$4K7-day PnL
-$18K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 7 | $14K |
| 2026-04 | 9 | $13K |
| 2026-05 | 6 | $3K |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $109 |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $130 |
| 2026-09 | 13 | $3K |
Which boards
Weather 19Sports 14Culture 4
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
87% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $3K (85% maker / 15% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio87%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$3K
Maker rebate$3K
Taker rebate$499
Maker share85%
Taker share15%
Window2026-03-28 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$33K
Verified lifetime PnL$107K
Verification gap$74K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)