ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
ramadamaramadam
0x5b4ec9c06b284ee52c41a761974d836992880232
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 96% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 96%Verified PnL#45 of 1130
Beats 82%Win rate#165 of 928
Beats 94%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#58 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board16
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-05-09
Last seen2026-07-19
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$1.70M
Verified lifetime PnL
$26.77MVolume
84.8%Win rate · n=46
6.35%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1.70M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,109only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$39.0Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$907
6.35% ROI48.1% Win rate · n=81
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$1.74M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1.16MSpain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSports · Spain
- +$453.6KWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Sports · No
- +$444.8KWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?Sports · Yes
- +$336.0KNorway vs. England: O/U 2.5Sports · Under
- +$320.5KSpread: France (-1.5)Sports · Paraguay
Top 5 losing markets
- -$381.4KEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Sports · Under
- -$378.0KWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Sports · No
- -$366.0KWill England win on 2026-07-05?Sports · No
- -$310.9KUzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5Sports · Under
- -$259.4KEngland vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSports · England
Covers all 81 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 35 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$3.40M). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$1.70MVerified lifetime PnL
$282KEarned off the board
16Days on board
$1.42MBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 7 | $277K |
| 2026-06 | 2 | $49K |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $1.09M |
Which boards
Sports 16All markets 10
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
visible rebate $39K (44% maker / 56% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$39K
Maker rebate$17K
Taker rebate$22K
Maker share44%
Taker share56%
Window2026-05-09 → 2026-07-31
Profit composition
Net negative (window)
Trade cash$0
Rebate$0
Net total$0
Window2026-10-05 → 2026-11-04
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$1.42M
Verified lifetime PnL$1.70M
Verification gap$282K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)