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Calimer0
0x5b721da0811d071808f129537b7052b819b8bedd
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 17% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 17%Verified PnL#951 of 1156
Beats 53%Win rate#446 of 963
Beats 13%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#869 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board26
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-05-25
Last seen2026-10-07
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$7K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.27MVolume
67.5%Win rate · n=308
-0.48%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$6,887
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $104only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$95
-0.54% ROI25.7% Win rate · n=808
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$23.0K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,478Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on September 25?Weather · Yes
- +$1,971Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 20?Weather · Yes
- +$1,670Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 13?Weather · Yes
- +$1,474Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Politics · Yes
- +$1,049Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,285Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?Politics · No
- -$1,211Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?Politics · No
- -$1,060 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics · Yes
- -$997Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?Politics · Yes
- -$489Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 1160 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$31.5K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$7KVerified lifetime PnL
$16KBelow board-day sum
26Days on board
$10KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $306 |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $520 |
| 2026-07 | 8 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 6 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 7 | $3K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $983 |
Which boards
Politics 23Weather 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
66% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio66%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$10K
Verified lifetime PnL-$7K
Verification gap-$16K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)