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0x5be9694e717cfb880c05894ba49fcbe949dc9106
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 31% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 31%Verified PnL#428 of 624
Beats 22%30-day PnL#458 of 594
Beats 14%Win rate#509 of 592
Beats 77%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#139 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board17
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-16
Last seen2026-10-30
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$12K
Verified lifetime PnL
$518KVolume
42.6%Win rate · n=202
2.29%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
-$69630-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$11.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $526only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$59partial
Liquidity rewards$108
2.29% ROI41.9% Win rate · n=205
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$17.4K · loses the most in Culture -$2,247
Top 5 winning markets
- +$8,175Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Finance · Yes
- +$5,903US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$5,148Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- +$4,194Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Finance · Yes
- +$2,748Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Finance · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$3,503Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Finance · Yes
- -$1,857Trump + Logan Paul TikTok >50M views by Friday?Politics · No
- -$1,660Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?Politics · No
- -$1,539Trump + Logan Paul TikTok >100M views by Friday?Politics · No
- -$1,333Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Finance · Yes
Covers the 205 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$12KVerified lifetime PnL
$5KEarned off the board
17Days on board
$7KBoard-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
-$69630-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $296 |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $191 |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $139 |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $3K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $2K |
Which boards
Finance 9Politics 8Sports 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
64% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $59 (96% maker / 5% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio64%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-22
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$59
Maker rebate$57
Taker rebate$3
Maker share96%
Taker share5%
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-13
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$7K
Verified lifetime PnL$12K
Verification gap$5K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)