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0x5bffcf561bcae83af680ad600cb99f1184d6ffbe
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 95% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 95%Verified PnL#30 of 624
Beats 27%30-day PnL#428 of 594
Beats 44%Win rate#328 of 592
Beats 42%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#360 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board27
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-20
Last seen2026-06-07
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$2.29M
Verified lifetime PnL
$344.56MVolume
61.5%Win rate (sample) · n=369
0.66%PnL ÷ Volume
-$07-day PnL
-$030-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$2.29M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $3,980only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,384partial
Liquidity rewards$72.2K
0.66% ROI52.8% Win rate · n=430
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$2.29M · loses the most in Other -$8,711
Top 5 winning markets
- +$3.79MWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes / No
- +$1.02MFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$722.0KWill Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Politics · Yes
- +$558.3KKamala Harris wins the popular vote?Politics · No / Yes
- +$557.2KWill Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1.66MWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · No / Yes
- -$550.9KFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$428.9KFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$230.1KWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Politics · Yes / No
- -$158.8KFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Finance · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$2.29MVerified lifetime PnL
$2.26MEarned off the board
27Days on board
$24KBoard-day sum
-$07-day PnL
-$030-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 2 | $8K |
| 2026-04 | 5 | $10K |
| 2026-05 | 14 | $5K |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $2K |
Which boards
Politics 15Culture 7Crypto 7Weather 3Sports 2Finance 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
99% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (89% maker / 11% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio99%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-06-07
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$1K
Taker rebate$149
Maker share89%
Taker share11%
Window2026-03-18 → 2026-07-09
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$24K
Verified lifetime PnL$2.29M
Verification gap$2.26M
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)