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← All boardsNovelty8
0x5c035da7d3df55a0458706830c542eda097a31bb
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 7% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 7%Verified PnL#576 of 624
Beats 8%30-day PnL#545 of 594
Beats 79%Win rate#125 of 592
Beats 6%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#582 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board21
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-08-02
Last seen2026-09-12
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$122K
Verified lifetime PnL
$7.23MVolume
81.9%Win rate (sample) · n=397
-1.68%PnL ÷ Volume
-$39K7-day PnL
-$39K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$121.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $90only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2,314partial
Liquidity rewards$67
-1.68% ROI50.1% Win rate · n=648
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$195.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$37.6KSpread: Raptors (-5.5)Sports · Magic
- +$21.2KSpread: Hawks (-2.5)Sports · Heat
- +$21.0KSpread: 76ers (-1.5)Sports · 76ers
- +$15.7KUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex MichelsenSports · Frances Tiafoe
- +$15.2KCavaliers vs. HawksSports · Hawks
Top 5 losing markets
- -$13.0KLaver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de MinaurSports · Carlos Alcaraz
- -$11.7KKings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Sports · Over / Under
- -$11.1KWuhan Tennis Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maja ChwalinskaSports · Maja Chwalinska / Iga Swiatek
- -$9,14676ers vs. HornetsSports · 76ers / Hornets
- -$8,100US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen KhachanovSports · Alexander Zverev
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$122KVerified lifetime PnL
$126KBelow board-day sum
21Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
-$39K7-day PnL
-$39K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 15 | $992 |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $3K |
Which boards
Sports 21
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
97% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (99% maker / 1% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio97%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-10-31
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$21
Maker share99%
Taker share1%
Window2026-08-02 → 2026-10-31
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL-$122K
Verification gap-$126K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)