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0x5d79d6d1cff0cf9ff8ff90cdfcf171d25b3f33e4

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 20% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 20%Verified PnL#897 of 1130
Beats 51%30-day PnL#392 of 810
Beats 66%Win rate#316 of 928
Beats 14%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#820 of 954

Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board11
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-05-27
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictNet negative

At a glance

-$2K

Verified lifetime PnL

$627KVolume
73.6%Win rate · n=330
-0.35%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
2026-05 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$2,217

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $53only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$281partial
Liquidity rewards$538
-0.35% ROI73.6% Win rate · n=330

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleBuys near-certain outcomes45% of 427 buys at ≥ 90¢Mainly sports60% of last 500 fills (over 38.8 days) are sports marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Politics +$1,145 · loses the most in Sports -$5,043

Politics31 pos.+$1,145
Crypto3 pos.+$1,003
Weather3 pos.+$541
Tech & science3 pos.+$132
Culture2 pos.+$13.66
Finance2 pos.-$9.24
Sports287 pos.-$5,043

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$5,453FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5Sports · Under / Over
  2. +$2,083KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia TigersSports · Kia Tigers
  3. +$1,145Will Montedio Yamagata vs. Tochigi SC end in a draw?Sports · Yes
  4. +$1,030Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?Crypto · Up
  5. +$987Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?Politics · Yes

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$13.7KWill DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw?Sports · Yes
  2. -$3,343Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?Sports · Under
  3. -$2,043Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09?Sports · No
  4. -$1,887Exact Score: DR Congo 0 - 0 Chile?Sports · Yes
  5. -$1,771Spread: Chile (-2.5)Sports · Chile

Covers the 331 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

-$2KVerified lifetime PnL
$8KBelow board-day sum
11Days on board
$6KBoard-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-05 2 $388
2026-06 4 $5K
2026-08 2 $264
2026-09 3 $207

Which boards

Sports 11

Method breakdown

Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet

Measured layers

visible rebate $281 (98% maker / 2% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.

Visible rebates

Maker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$281
Maker rebate$275
Taker rebate$6
Maker share98%
Taker share2%
Window2026-04-12 → 2026-11-04

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Net negative

Board-day sum$6K
Verified lifetime PnL-$2K
Verification gap-$8K

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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)