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0x5d83c3963c790b9760e6ac0e55878320cafa0bb9
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 16% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 16%Verified PnL#519 of 624
Beats 48%30-day PnL#304 of 594
Beats 59%Win rate#243 of 592
Beats 15%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#525 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board6
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-02
Last seen2026-09-13
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$456
Verified lifetime PnL
$727KVolume
68.8%Win rate · n=375
-0.17%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$456
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $28only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)none seenpartial
Liquidity rewards$120
-0.06% ROI63.5% Win rate · n=408
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$26.7K · loses the most in Politics -$1,135
Top 5 winning markets
- +$5,419Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Tech & science · No / Yes
- +$3,786Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?Tech & science · Yes
- +$2,508Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Tech & science · Yes
- +$2,376Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Finance · Yes
- +$1,752Will xAI have a #1 AI model this year?Tech & science · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,585Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- -$2,929OpenAI browser by October 31?Tech & science · No / Yes
- -$2,926Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?Tech & science · Yes
- -$1,434GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?Tech & science · Yes / No
- -$1,090Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech & science · Yes / No
Covers the 378 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$456Verified lifetime PnL
$759Below board-day sum
6Days on board
$303Board-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $59 |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $221 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $23 |
Which boards
Finance 6
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
68% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate none in the activity feed
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio68%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-14
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
No visible rebate
Visible rebateNone seen
Window—
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$303
Verified lifetime PnL-$456
Verification gap-$759
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)