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0x5dd5791d55a7e52c71ef7e7276ec064f3afd1fcf
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 23% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 23%Verified PnL#478 of 624
Beats 21%30-day PnL#464 of 594
Beats 17%Win rate#490 of 592
Beats 57%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#265 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board16
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-02
Last seen2026-09-18
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$3K
Verified lifetime PnL
$253KVolume
45.2%Win rate (sample) · n=347
1.18%PnL ÷ Volume
-$1K7-day PnL
-$99830-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$3,011
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2partial
Liquidity rewards$3
1.19% ROI45.2% Win rate · n=347
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$1,166
Top 5 winning markets
- +$775Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 153 and 157 seats after the 2026 election?Politics · Yes / No
- +$330Will James Wood hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Sports · No
- +$252Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 158 and 162 seats after the 2026 election?Politics · No
- +$63.91Will the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix winning margin be 15-20 seconds?Sports · No / Yes
- +$58.37Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on August 26?Crypto · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$5.9Club Almagro vs. CA Ferrocarril Midland: Neither team to score first?Sports · Yes
- -$4.8Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on August 25?Weather · No
- -$4.12Will primmie have the highest ACS at Masters London 2026Sports · No
- -$3.97Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 October 12-18?Crypto · No
- -$3.91Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 143 and 147 seats after the 2026 election?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$3KVerified lifetime PnL
$1KEarned off the board
16Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
-$1K7-day PnL
-$99830-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 4 | $89 |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $29 |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $118 |
Which boards
Sports 11Mentions 3Weather 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
99% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio99%
Fills measured482
Window ends2026-10-31
Window scope5 days
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$2
Maker rebate$2
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-10-03 → 2026-10-03
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL$3K
Verification gap$1K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)