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HighTempTation

0x6011655c4afb76f36dd1b08a137a1ba73466b31e

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 60% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 60%Verified PnL#249 of 624
Beats 56%30-day PnL#260 of 594
#1Win rate#1 of 592
Beats 88%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#70 of 620

Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board33
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-28
Last seen2026-10-07
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$97K

Verified lifetime PnL

$2.50MVolume
100%Win rate (sample) · n=400
3.68%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$9K30-day PnL
2026-05 2026-10

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$97.2K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $406only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$364partial
Liquidity rewards$0
3.90% ROI100% Win rate · n=400

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleBuys near-certain outcomes88% of 192 buys at ≥ 90¢In and out fastMedian hold 1 min across 185 bought-then-sold positionsMainly weather100% of last 500 fills (over 9.9 days) are weather marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Weather +$43.9K · loses the most in Crypto -$11.62

Weather396 pos.+$43.9K
Crypto4 pos.-$11.62

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$1,324Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22?Weather · No
  2. +$729Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 22?Weather · Yes / No
  3. +$707Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 25?Weather · No
  4. +$700Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 19?Weather · No
  5. +$700Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 8?Weather · No

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$1,924Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 22?Weather · No
  2. -$1,499Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 19?Weather · No
  3. -$1,481Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 17?Weather · No
  4. -$358Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 17?Weather · Yes
  5. -$284Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 16?Weather · No

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01

$97KVerified lifetime PnL
$92KEarned off the board
33Days on board
$5KBoard-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$9K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-05 2 $329
2026-06 15 $2K
2026-07 7 $865
2026-08 5 $1K
2026-09 3 $106
2026-10 1 $691

Which boards

Weather 33

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet

Measured layers

34% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $364 (1% maker / 99% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

mostly aggressive

Passive ratio34%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Taker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$364
Maker rebate$3
Taker rebate$361
Maker share1%
Taker share99%
Window2026-06-20 → 2026-10-12

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$5K
Verified lifetime PnL$97K
Verification gap$92K

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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)