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0x614ef98a8be021de3a974942b2fb98794ff34f1b
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 24% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 24%Verified PnL#855 of 1130
Beats 70%30-day PnL#241 of 810
Beats 77%Win rate#212 of 928
Beats 18%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#777 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board18
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-16
Last seen2026-10-12
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$206
Verified lifetime PnL
$16.62MVolume
81.2%Win rate · n=287
-0.10%PnL ÷ Volume
$10K7-day PnL
$29K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$206
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,098only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$133partial
Liquidity rewards$160
0.00% ROI74.4% Win rate · n=313
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$42.0K · loses the most in Politics -$49.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$152.4KWill global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?Weather · Yes
- +$23.8KWill "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $67m?Culture · Yes
- +$15.7KFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Finance · No
- +$14.9KWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Culture · No / Yes
- +$14.2KWill MrBeast raise 40m on Sunday August 31?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$62.9KThailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?Politics · Yes / No
- -$42.4KWill global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?Weather · Yes
- -$38.6KLarger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?Politics · Proposition 50 / Mamdani
- -$37.8KWill global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in July 2025?Weather · Yes
- -$37.7KWill global temperature increase by less than 0.90ºC in July 2025?Weather · No / Yes
Covers the 296 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 26 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$55.3K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$206Verified lifetime PnL
$7KBelow board-day sum
18Days on board
$7KBoard-day sum
$10K7-day PnL
$29K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 3 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 4 | $2K |
| 2026-06 | 4 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $738 |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $40 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $400 |
Which boards
Politics 8Mentions 3Culture 3Sports 3Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
76% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $133 (95% maker / 5% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio76%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-10-13
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$133
Maker rebate$126
Taker rebate$7
Maker share95%
Taker share5%
Window2026-05-12 → 2026-10-13
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$7K
Verified lifetime PnL$206
Verification gap-$7K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)