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← All boardsDaBossHogg
0x6157d529ae129fe08f22a27ed42e741d2eaa9fb4
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 43% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 43%Verified PnL#352 of 624
Beats 59%30-day PnL#242 of 594
Beats 30%Win rate#411 of 592
Beats 29%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#436 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board49
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-27
Last seen2026-09-18
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$36K
Verified lifetime PnL
$8.79MVolume
52.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.24%PnL ÷ Volume
$35K7-day PnL
$11K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$35.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $56.4Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$7,634partial
Liquidity rewards$2
0.41% ROI48.3% Win rate · n=437
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$269.9K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$77.8KUnited States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Sports · Over
- +$51.0KJordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Sports · Over
- +$49.7KFC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Sports · Over
- +$36.3KBrazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreSports · Yes
- +$28.2KColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Sports · Over
Top 5 losing markets
- -$54.2KPortugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Sports · Over
- -$40.5KWimbledon WTA: Madison Keys vs Linda NoskovaSports · Madison Keys
- -$34.5KColombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to ScoreSports · Yes
- -$33.3KChicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Sports · Over
- -$32.8KNew York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Sports · Over
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$36KVerified lifetime PnL
$326KBelow board-day sum
49Days on board
$362KBoard-day sum
$35K7-day PnL
$11K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $5K |
| 2026-05 | 21 | $66K |
| 2026-06 | 19 | $152K |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $123K |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $12K |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $4K |
Which boards
Sports 49All markets 5
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
45% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $8K (11% maker / 89% taker); recent window rebate share 17%
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio45%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$8K
Maker rebate$821
Taker rebate$7K
Maker share11%
Taker share89%
Window2026-06-15 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
Trade-dominated
Trade cash$3K
Rebate$498
Net total$3K
Rebate share17%
Window2026-09-30 → 2026-10-30
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$362K
Verified lifetime PnL$36K
Verification gap-$326K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)