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← All boardsrkassandra
0x61b36d11209b5f58a642bda3d8f3148b4b919d22
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 45% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 45%Verified PnL#343 of 624
Beats 99%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#3 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board16
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-06-09
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$38K
Verified lifetime PnL
$108KVolume
75%Win rate · n=8
35.46%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$38.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $450only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)none seenpartial
Liquidity rewards$14
35.5% ROI— Win rate · n=8
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$38.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$37.7KWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$1,529Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$711Claude 4.7 released by April 17?Tech & science · Yes
- +$113Claude 4.7 released by April 24?Tech & science · Yes
- +$48.54Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,005Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Tech & science · No / Yes
- -$723Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
Covers all 8 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$38KVerified lifetime PnL
$23KEarned off the board
16Days on board
$16KBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $19 |
| 2026-05 | 9 | $4K |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $11K |
Which boards
Tech 16
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
43% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate none in the activity feed
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio43%
Fills measured183
Window ends2026-06-05
Window scope52 days
Visible rebates
No visible rebate
Visible rebateNone seen
Window—
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$16K
Verified lifetime PnL$38K
Verification gap$23K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)