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0x6297b93ea37ff92a57fd636410f3b71ebf74517e
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 44% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 44%Verified PnL#346 of 624
Beats 30%30-day PnL#416 of 594
Beats 1%Win rate#585 of 592
Beats 63%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#226 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board8
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-08
Last seen2026-09-10
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$38K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.49MVolume
16.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
1.51%PnL ÷ Volume
$3107-day PnL
$12230-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$37.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $78only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$63partial
Liquidity rewards$315
1.52% ROI16.3% Win rate · n=412
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$15.0K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$4,804Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 25?Weather · Yes
- +$841Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on December 14?Weather · Yes
- +$662Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 27?Weather · Yes
- +$566Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 14?Weather · No
- +$520Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 13?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$211Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 21?Weather · No
- -$201Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C or below on February 9?Weather · No
- -$194Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on February 21?Weather · No
- -$192Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C or below on February 10?Weather · No
- -$192Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or higher on February 13?Weather · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$38KVerified lifetime PnL
$37KEarned off the board
8Days on board
$710Board-day sum
$3107-day PnL
$12230-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 2 | $445 |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $39 |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $140 |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $40 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $46 |
Which boards
Weather 8
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
85% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $63 (92% maker / 8% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio85%
Fills measured498
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$63
Maker rebate$57
Taker rebate$5
Maker share92%
Taker share8%
Window2026-04-03 → 2026-08-28
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$710
Verified lifetime PnL$38K
Verification gap$37K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)