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0x64c8ec47e1f5a367f234a74f8176d805e87173ce
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 7% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 7%Verified PnL#578 of 624
Beats 68%30-day PnL#190 of 594
Beats 65%Win rate#203 of 592
Beats 8%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#568 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board17
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-05
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$124K
Verified lifetime PnL
$11.29MVolume
72%Win rate · n=93
-1.10%PnL ÷ Volume
$5K7-day PnL
$22K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$124.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $4,046only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2,500partial
Liquidity rewards$2,010
-1.10% ROI66.3% Win rate · n=101
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$31.3K · loses the most in Politics -$19.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$118.5KWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics · Yes
- +$51.1KAnother Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Politics · No / Yes
- +$32.5KWill Biden finish his term?Politics · Yes
- +$28.2KFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics · Yes
- +$22.9KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$177.4KWill there be a US Government shutdown? Politics · No
- -$99.0KElise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?Politics · Yes
- -$38.6KWill Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?Politics · Yes
- -$19.2KWill Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?Politics · No
- -$17.7KPete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Politics · No
Covers all 93 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$124KVerified lifetime PnL
$255KBelow board-day sum
17Days on board
$130KBoard-day sum
$5K7-day PnL
$22K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 2 | $219 |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $18K |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 6 | $110K |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $575 |
Which boards
Politics 17All markets 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
96% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $3K (89% maker / 11% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio96%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$3K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$281
Maker share89%
Taker share11%
Window2026-05-07 → 2026-10-23
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$130K
Verified lifetime PnL-$124K
Verification gap-$255K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)