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0x66e7ce01c6831b8a2503d09edd6167152ee68bcd
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 64% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 64%Verified PnL#220 of 624
Beats 86%30-day PnL#80 of 594
Beats 34%Win rate#387 of 592
Beats 51%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#301 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board40
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-28
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$135K
Verified lifetime PnL
$9.04MVolume
54.6%Win rate (sample) · n=388
0.96%PnL ÷ Volume
$82K7-day PnL
$131K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$135.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $64only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$7,649partial
Liquidity rewards$9,584
1.50% ROI44.4% Win rate · n=478
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$33.0K · loses the most in Politics -$111.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$15.1KWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports · Yes / No
- +$7,956Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics · Yes
- +$6,539Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Sports · Yes
- +$4,653Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Politics · Yes
- +$4,075Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$5,528Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports · No
- -$3,631Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics · No
- -$3,168Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan?Politics · No
- -$3,033Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Iowa?Politics · No
- -$2,910Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$135KVerified lifetime PnL
$124KEarned off the board
40Days on board
$11KBoard-day sum
$82K7-day PnL
$131K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $666 |
| 2026-06 | 4 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $380 |
| 2026-08 | 14 | $4K |
| 2026-09 | 18 | $5K |
Which boards
Sports 31Politics 17Tech 8All markets 3Weather 2Crypto 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
79% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $8K (94% maker / 6% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio79%
Fills measured498
Window ends2026-09-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$8K
Maker rebate$7K
Taker rebate$439
Maker share94%
Taker share6%
Window2026-03-16 → 2026-10-29
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$747K
Rebate$2K
Net total$749K
Window2026-09-29 → 2026-10-29
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$11K
Verified lifetime PnL$135K
Verification gap$124K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)