ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsOompa-Loompa
0x6828e04b468e17d92fa1e5d60d59290278a81056
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 66% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 66%Verified PnL#212 of 624
Beats 21%30-day PnL#468 of 594
Beats 62%Win rate#222 of 592
Beats 59%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#253 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board12
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-08-01
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$144K
Verified lifetime PnL
$11.10MVolume
70.4%Win rate (sample) · n=253
1.30%PnL ÷ Volume
-$1K7-day PnL
-$1K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$144.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $32only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$12partial
Liquidity rewards$2,818
1.30% ROI70.4% Win rate · n=253
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$14.4K · loses the most in Politics -$8,019
Top 5 winning markets
- +$6,213Will Bitcoin dip to $117K July 14–20?Crypto · Yes
- +$2,917Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Politics · Yes
- +$2,517Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Culture · No
- +$2,432Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech & science · No
- +$2,181Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his AI speech on July 23?Culture · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,423Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Politics · Yes / No
- -$3,520Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Politics · No
- -$2,882US strikes Nigeria by December 31?Politics · No
- -$2,871US military action against Iran by Saturday?Politics · No
- -$2,796Israel military action against Iran by Friday?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$144KVerified lifetime PnL
$144KEarned off the board
12Days on board
$810Board-day sum
-$1K7-day PnL
-$1K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $51 |
| 2026-05 | 6 | $399 |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $51 |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $233 |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $77 |
Which boards
Tech 7Politics 5
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
80% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $12 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio80%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$12
Maker rebate$12
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-01-19 → 2026-09-27
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$810
Verified lifetime PnL$144K
Verification gap$144K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)