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monkeymashingkeyboard
0x684baa57c338c2549aec0aa3f034f695d72a8409
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 90% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 90%Verified PnL#60 of 624
Beats 97%30-day PnL#17 of 594
Beats 93%Win rate#39 of 592
Beats 62%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#233 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board35
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-07-13
Last seen2026-11-01
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$1.09M
Verified lifetime PnL
$20.50MVolume
93.9%Win rate (sample) · n=394
1.48%PnL ÷ Volume
$884K7-day PnL
$975K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1.09M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,707only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$30.4Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$2,220
5.30% ROI42% Win rate · n=881
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$5.85M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$149.7KSpread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Sports · Grizzlies
- +$147.2KRockets vs. SpursSports · Rockets / Spurs
- +$133.5KGrizzlies vs. Trail BlazersSports · Grizzlies
- +$117.4KPacers vs. BucksSports · Bucks
- +$116.9KWarriors vs. NuggetsSports · Warriors
Top 5 losing markets
- -$65.4KRockets vs. HawksSports · Rockets / Hawks
- -$61.0KRavens vs. BrownsSports · Ravens
- -$51.9KSpread: Lakers (-2.5)Sports · Lakers
- -$44.6KSpread: Eagles (-3.5)Sports · Bears / Eagles
- -$25.1KMavericks vs. HeatSports · Heat
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$1.09MVerified lifetime PnL
$666KBelow board-day sum
35Days on board
$1.77MBoard-day sum
$884K7-day PnL
$975K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 10 | $247K |
| 2026-08 | 14 | $446K |
| 2026-09 | 8 | $116K |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $657K |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $306K |
Which boards
Sports 34All markets 26
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
97% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $30K (95% maker / 5% taker); recent window rebate share 3%
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio97%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$30K
Maker rebate$29K
Taker rebate$1K
Maker share95%
Taker share5%
Window2026-07-11 → 2026-10-15
Profit composition
Trade-dominated
Trade cash$191K
Rebate$7K
Net total$198K
Rebate share3%
Window2026-09-15 → 2026-10-15
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$1.75M
Verified lifetime PnL$1.09M
Verification gap-$666K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)