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0x689ae12e11aa489adb3605afd8f39040ff52779e
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 85% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$697K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$1.28M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$193.7KWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$107.5KWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$100.7KWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Culture · Yes / No
- +$88.3KWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$86.8KWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$42.2KWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$20.6KWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$20.6KWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$18.8KWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?Culture · Yes / No
- -$17.5KWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Culture · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 7 | $47K |
| 2026-05 | 10 | $19K |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $293 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
24% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (75% maker / 25% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)