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PredictionYogi
0x69645cea639e7a19cbde6c126a197bc1abafef53
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 62% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 62%Verified PnL#428 of 1130
Beats 38%30-day PnL#498 of 810
Beats 66%Win rate#315 of 928
Beats 28%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#684 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board11
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-05-01
Last seen2026-09-25
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$72K
Verified lifetime PnL
$37.93MVolume
73.7%Win rate (sample) · n=399
0.19%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$71.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $77only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2,805partial
Liquidity rewards$4,983partial
0.19% ROI71.9% Win rate · n=409
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$143.2K · loses the most in Crypto -$3,334
Top 5 winning markets
- +$22.1KWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$21.4KWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?Culture · Yes
- +$20.0KWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Culture · Yes
- +$19.9KWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$18.2KWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$16.0KWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Culture · Yes
- -$15.2KWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$14.9KWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?Culture · Yes
- -$13.9KWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$11.4KWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?Culture · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 10 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$1,963). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$72KVerified lifetime PnL
$67KEarned off the board
11Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 2 | $635 |
| 2026-06 | 2 | $303 |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $48 |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $818 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $3K |
Which boards
Culture 5Politics 5Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
69% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $3K (85% maker / 15% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio69%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-01
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$3K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$414
Maker share85%
Taker share15%
Window2026-04-02 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL$72K
Verification gap$67K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)