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LeRoiSoleil
0x6ac0caf622798132614a5972f81d86ff23fc55f3
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 16% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 16%Verified PnL#971 of 1156
Beats 10%Win rate#861 of 963
Beats 14%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#858 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board58
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-04-30
Last seen2026-09-18
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$11K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.86MVolume
42.9%Win rate (sample) · n=394
-0.39%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$11.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $5,453only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$1
-0.39% ROI41.7% Win rate · n=405
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$18.2K · loses the most in Politics -$18.1K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$9,840Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics · No
- +$8,894MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Finance · No / Yes
- +$8,160SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Finance · No
- +$7,031US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Politics · Yes
- +$6,078Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$13.7KWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- -$7,633US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$6,088Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Yes
- -$4,899Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Politics · No
- -$4,850US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 11 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$20.6K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$11KVerified lifetime PnL
$54KBelow board-day sum
58Days on board
$43KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $109 |
| 2026-05 | 9 | $3K |
| 2026-06 | 20 | $24K |
| 2026-07 | 15 | $10K |
| 2026-08 | 10 | $6K |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $742 |
Which boards
Politics 37Sports 17Finance 11Crypto 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
6% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio6%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-27
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$43K
Verified lifetime PnL-$11K
Verification gap-$54K
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)