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0x6adcccb0ea0b93a66e67f0d7b2b625b135a8beba
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 2% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 2%Verified PnL#608 of 624
Beats 79%30-day PnL#124 of 594
Beats 7%Win rate#549 of 592
Beats 1%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#608 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board33
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-12
Last seen2026-07-13
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$881K
Verified lifetime PnL
$19.88MVolume
34.8%Win rate · n=345
-4.43%PnL ÷ Volume
$59K7-day PnL
$61K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$881.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $12.2Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$4,138partial
Liquidity rewards$1,345
-4.43% ROI34.1% Win rate · n=352
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$203.6K · loses the most in Sports -$951.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$164.3KWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Finance · No / Yes
- +$117.1KCounter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Sports · Astralis
- +$106.0KLoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendSports · Top Esports
- +$93.6KWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?Sports · Yes
- +$77.1KTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$228.8KWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Sports · Yes
- -$150.0KCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSports · Spirit
- -$100.3KCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Sports · PARIVISION
- -$100.0KCeltics vs. BucksSports · Bucks
- -$99.7KCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Sports · Astralis
Covers the 346 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$881KVerified lifetime PnL
$1.12MBelow board-day sum
33Days on board
$235KBoard-day sum
$59K7-day PnL
$61K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 10 | $162K |
| 2026-05 | 14 | $38K |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $24K |
| 2026-07 | 4 | $11K |
Which boards
Finance 16Politics 12Sports 8All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
99% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $4K (58% maker / 42% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio99%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-06-23
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$4K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$2K
Maker share58%
Taker share42%
Window2026-04-03 → 2026-07-09
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$235K
Verified lifetime PnL-$881K
Verification gap-$1.12M
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)