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startrader644
0x6c9264336622411ea73283e7624bb2a6e00b1322
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 13% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 13%Verified PnL#978 of 1130
Beats 21%30-day PnL#633 of 810
Beats 39%Win rate#556 of 928
Beats 8%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#875 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board36
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-05-01
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$22K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.00MVolume
59.9%Win rate (sample) · n=399
-1.10%PnL ÷ Volume
-$837-day PnL
-$74930-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$22.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $150only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$67partial
Liquidity rewards$6,260
-1.10% ROI57.6% Win rate · n=415
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$1,451 · loses the most in Other -$21.3K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,955Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$2,864Will 18 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by November 4th?Other · No / Yes
- +$2,536Will Marine Le Pen win 2nd place in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election?Other · Yes / No
- +$2,200US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Politics · Yes
- +$1,944Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August?Other · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$14.8KWill the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting?Other · Yes / No
- -$10.8KWill at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?Other · No
- -$9,809Will 'House of Gucci' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes?Other · No
- -$8,996US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Crypto · Yes
- -$7,524Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st?Other · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 16 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$8,545). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$22KVerified lifetime PnL
$33KBelow board-day sum
36Days on board
$11KBoard-day sum
-$837-day PnL
-$74930-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 4 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 8 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 8 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 11 | $4K |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $2K |
Which boards
Politics 20Crypto 8Sports 7Finance 2
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $67 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$67
Maker rebate$67
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-05-15 → 2026-10-07
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$11K
Verified lifetime PnL-$22K
Verification gap-$33K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)