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← All boardsEvanCross
0x6d38b748fa7e7b0ef783a177a13a6ca181de382c
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 15% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
-$4K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$672 · loses the most in Politics -$4,413
Top 5 winning markets
- +$865Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics · Yes / No
- +$847Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Finance · Yes
- +$535Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Tech & science · Yes
- +$384Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$330Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Crypto · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$5,155Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?Politics · Yes / No
- -$349Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech & science · Yes
- -$296Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech & science · No
- -$284Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Crypto · Yes
- -$248Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
Covers all 150 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 5 | $287 |
| 2026-06 | 2 | $150 |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $326 |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $34 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $69 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
86% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Trade on Polymarket
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)