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0x6e2c3937e6dd094a3a9f814ecbdc289d3fd5b7f8
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 10% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 10%Verified PnL#557 of 624
Beats 44%30-day PnL#328 of 594
Beats 97%Win rate#15 of 592
Beats 15%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#521 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board27
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-09-18
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$36K
Verified lifetime PnL
$34.44MVolume
98.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-0.10%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$35.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $98only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,454partial
Liquidity rewards$9,141
-0.10% ROI90.8% Win rate · n=433
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$1,121 · loses the most in Crypto -$57.8K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$10.9KWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?Crypto · Yes
- +$4,397Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Crypto · No / Yes
- +$2,934Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 14?Crypto · No
- +$1,391Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 12?Crypto · Yes
- +$1,315Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?Crypto · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$29.9KWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 19?Crypto · No
- -$19.8KBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$17.6KWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 18?Crypto · Yes
- -$11.1KWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 on March 15?Crypto · No
- -$6,872Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETCrypto · Down
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$36KVerified lifetime PnL
$41KBelow board-day sum
27Days on board
$6KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $511 |
| 2026-05 | 4 | $663 |
| 2026-06 | 4 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 7 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $475 |
Which boards
Crypto 22Finance 9
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
59% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (91% maker / 9% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio59%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-11-01
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$1K
Taker rebate$134
Maker share91%
Taker share9%
Window2026-03-18 → 2026-10-31
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$6K
Verified lifetime PnL-$36K
Verification gap-$41K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)