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0x6e664f19ad287733e7eafe01e0e541826d45f4ea
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 14% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 14%Verified PnL#532 of 624
Beats 31%30-day PnL#410 of 594
Beats 82%Win rate#104 of 592
Beats 3%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#599 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board15
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-24
Last seen2026-08-30
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$6K
Verified lifetime PnL
$247KVolume
83.6%Win rate · n=73
-2.40%PnL ÷ Volume
$1927-day PnL
$27530-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$5,918
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $219only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$12partial
Liquidity rewards$65
-2.40% ROI74.4% Win rate · n=82
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$2,059
Top 5 winning markets
- +$851US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics · No
- +$634Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$357GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$311US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Politics · No
- +$299US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$938US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics · No
- -$617US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Politics · No
- -$484US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Politics · No
- -$248Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech & science · No / Yes
- -$102Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
Covers all 74 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$6KVerified lifetime PnL
$9KBelow board-day sum
15Days on board
$3KBoard-day sum
$1927-day PnL
$27530-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $2K |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $290 |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $389 |
| 2026-08 | 6 | $525 |
Which boards
Finance 8Tech 5Politics 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
38% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $12 (89% maker / 11% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio38%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-11-01
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$12
Maker rebate$11
Taker rebate$1
Maker share89%
Taker share11%
Window2026-06-03 → 2026-07-09
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$3K
Verified lifetime PnL-$6K
Verification gap-$9K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)